Boca Unidos vs San Martín Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.5%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
34.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
5º
8º
8º
31
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
SAR
2 - 1
BUC
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
DCM
4 - 1
BUC
30%
27%
44%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BUC
4 - 2
DCM
53%
27%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DHA
1 - 1
BUC
51%
26%
24%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 1
DPR
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
San Martín Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
HUR
2 - 1
SMA
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 2
OLI
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 0
SMA
59%
24%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SMA
2 - 0
SMA
73%
19%
8%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 0
SMA
15%
28%
58%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |