Boca Júnior FC vs Dorense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
35.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CON
2 - 1
BOC
73%
18%
9%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 1
EST
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
EST
0 - 2
BOC
49%
25%
26%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
BOC
4 - 2
CON
14%
23%
63%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
DOR
1 - 0
BOC
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
DOR
2 - 3
SER
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
CON
3 - 1
DOR
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
DOR
0 - 3
CON
18%
22%
59%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
SER
4 - 3
DOR
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
DOR
1 - 0
BOC
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |