FC 93 vs US Fleury-Merogis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
6º
3º
55
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 91% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 93
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 0
BOB
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BOB
2 - 0
MET
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
REI
1 - 2
BOB
23%
25%
52%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
USB
2 - 2
BOB
39%
29%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BOB
2 - 2
LUS
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MET
2 - 3
FLE
17%
23%
60%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FLE
3 - 0
OLY
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 0
FLE
21%
25%
54%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FLE
1 - 1
REI
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FLE
4 - 3
ESW
78%
16%
6%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |