Boado vs A Merca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
31%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BOA
0 - 2
LOB
45%
23%
33%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MAN
3 - 1
BOA
61%
20%
19%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 2
XUN
36%
23%
40%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
BOA
55%
22%
24%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BOA
2 - 4
MAC
21%
22%
57%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
A Merca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MER
0 - 2
MAN
35%
23%
42%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
XUN
1 - 1
MER
63%
19%
18%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MER
2 - 2
SAN
41%
23%
36%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MAC
3 - 1
MER
77%
15%
9%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MER
0 - 0
ESP
45%
23%
32%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |