Boa EC vs Itabirito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+122%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
URT
0 - 2
BOA
49%
26%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BOA
1 - 2
IFC
25%
22%
53%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
VEC
2 - 1
BOA
20%
24%
56%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
DEM
2 - 1
BOA
29%
29%
42%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
BOA
1 - 0
TFC
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Itabirito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
IFC
2 - 2
NEC
39%
22%
39%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |