Boa EC vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
NAU
3 - 1
BOA
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
BOA
1 - 1
PPE
27%
28%
44%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
ASA
2 - 1
BOA
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
BOA
3 - 0
SPO
25%
28%
47%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
VIT
0 - 1
BOA
75%
18%
8%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
DUQ
0 - 0
POR
18%
24%
59%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
DUQ
2 - 1
ASA
31%
26%
44%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
DUQ
70%
18%
11%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
BRA
3 - 0
DUQ
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
DUQ
2 - 3
GOI
18%
24%
58%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |