Boa EC vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ICA
0 - 1
BOA
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
BOA
0 - 1
GUA
38%
27%
36%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 2
BOA
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BOA
4 - 1
SAO
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
BOA
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ASA
3 - 1
CRI
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
CRI
3 - 1
VIL
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 1
CRI
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CRI
2 - 0
DUQ
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
4 - 2
CRI
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |