Blooming vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blooming
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
SAC
0 - 3
BLO
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
OPE
0 - 0
BLO
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2000 |
BLO
1 - 3
STR
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
BOC
6 - 1
BLO
80%
13%
7%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
RPO
5 - 0
BLO
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2000 |
PEÑ
5 - 1
UCO
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2000 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
BOC
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2000 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
BLO
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2000 |
UCO
1 - 1
PEÑ
57%
21%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1998 |
CCP
3 - 0
PEÑ
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |