Blooming vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blooming
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
STR
4 - 2
BLO
70%
18%
13%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
BLO
1 - 0
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
OPE
3 - 0
BLO
46%
27%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
BLO
3 - 2
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
BLO
3 - 0
JWI
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 1
PET
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
LAP
0 - 3
AUR
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
STR
7 - 2
AUR
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 4
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
AUR
0 - 2
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |