Bleiburg vs Griffen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
FLC
1 - 1
BLE
63%
20%
17%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
BLE
3 - 0
TRE
22%
24%
54%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2008 |
GRI
4 - 1
BLE
64%
20%
16%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
BLE
1 - 2
STU
12%
22%
66%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
ALL
3 - 0
BLE
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Griffen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
GRI
3 - 2
SAS
42%
25%
34%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
LEN
3 - 1
GRI
83%
12%
5%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | -1 |