Bleiburg vs Ferlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
53.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BLE
0 - 3
TRE
48%
23%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MIC
0 - 1
BLE
23%
25%
52%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
BLE
3 - 1
GLO
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
SPI
2 - 2
BLE
56%
22%
22%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BLE
1 - 1
LEN
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
GMD
3 - 1
FLC
15%
18%
68%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
FLC
2 - 1
RAP
83%
12%
5%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
FLC
1 - 0
KLA
46%
22%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
FEL
2 - 2
FLC
25%
22%
52%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
FLC
4 - 1
WOL
49%
23%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +2 |