Baglan Dragons vs Caerau Ely analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
63.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+109%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baglan Dragons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
LID
0 - 2
BDG
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BDG
0 - 2
CAM
14%
17%
69%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 0
BDG
83%
12%
6%
|
20 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
BDG
1 - 2
BRI
10%
16%
74%
|
20 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
GOY
3 - 2
BDG
78%
13%
9%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
CAE
4 - 2
CWM
30%
21%
50%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
TRE
3 - 1
CAE
38%
21%
42%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
6 - 1
ABB
83%
11%
7%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 4
BAL
7%
15%
79%
|
31 | 66 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 0
TRE
53%
20%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |