Black Stars vs Thun II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
12.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Black Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
YOU
1 - 2
BLA
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
BLA
3 - 3
LUZ
47%
22%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
BER
1 - 3
BLA
14%
19%
67%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
BLA
1 - 4
CHA
36%
24%
41%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
FCS
2 - 3
BLA
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
DUL
2 - 3
THU
19%
18%
63%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
THU
1 - 2
DUR
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
MOU
2 - 1
THU
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
THU
2 - 1
WOH
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
LEN
0 - 6
THU
39%
22%
40%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +2 |