BKMA vs Lernayin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
10º
8º
22
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BKMA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2023 |
NOA
1 - 2
BKM
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
BKM
5 - 1
VAN
35%
27%
39%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
SHI
1 - 1
BKM
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 1
BKM
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
BKM
0 - 1
ARA
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 0
LER
61%
24%
15%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
LER
0 - 2
NOA
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
VAN
4 - 0
LER
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SHI
1 - 0
LER
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
LER
0 - 2
AVA
24%
27%
48%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |