BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
49.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BKMA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
BKM
0 - 1
PYU
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
BKM
2 - 0
NOV
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
ALA
2 - 1
BKM
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
BKM
0 - 2
ARA
23%
28%
49%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
BKM
1 - 2
PYU
22%
19%
59%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 1
ALA
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
AVA
3 - 0
ARA
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
AVA
3 - 0
BAN
59%
24%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
LER
1 - 2
AVA
10%
15%
75%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
VAN
1 - 2
AVA
34%
29%
37%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |