BKMA II vs West Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
47%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
5º
2º
75
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BKMA II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MIK
1 - 4
BKM
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
BKM
1 - 1
GAN
31%
27%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 2
BKM
37%
25%
39%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 3
BKM
11%
18%
72%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
BKM
6 - 0
BAN
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
West Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
WAR
2 - 1
SYU
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 2
WAR
12%
16%
72%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
WAR
2 - 1
SHI
82%
13%
6%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 3
WAR
20%
20%
59%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
WAR
1 - 0
PYU
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |