Bjelovar vs NK Trnje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
13º
8º
33
1º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bjelovar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MZL
4 - 1
BJE
50%
26%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BJE
3 - 2
NKK
76%
15%
9%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
BJE
2 - 2
KUS
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
BJE
3 - 2
MZL
39%
26%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
NKR
3 - 0
BJE
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
NK Trnje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
KAR
0 - 3
TRN
52%
24%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
HRV
0 - 4
TRN
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
NKJ
1 - 2
TRN
61%
20%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
HRV
2 - 3
TRN
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
TRN
4 - 1
NKO
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |