Liga Dos China Promotion Play Off 1/16
Global 3-1
Beijing Technology vs Nantong Zhiyun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-77%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Technology
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BIT
0 - 3
BAY
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
YIN
2 - 1
BIT
63%
21%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BIT
3 - 2
JIN
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
BAO
3 - 0
BIT
42%
24%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
BIT
1 - 0
SHE
31%
25%
45%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Nantong Zhiyun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
NAN
1 - 1
GUA
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
HBS
45%
26%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 2
LIJ
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
KEJ
2 - 2
GUA
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
SIC
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |