Bishop's Cleeve vs Bristol Manor Farm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.9%
14.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
7º
19º
10º
59
4º
17º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 79 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
69% | |
|
|
4º
|
59 | 62 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 62 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 61 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 61 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 54 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
|
9º
|
48 | 51 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 49 |
12º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 47 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 44 |
14º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
42 | 43 |
15º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
42 | 43 |
16º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
40 | 41 |
17º
|
68% | |
|
17º
|
34 | 35 |
18º
|
72% | |
|
18º
|
33 | 34 |
19º
|
72% | |
|
19º
|
26 | 27 |
20º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 74.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 25.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bishop's Cleeve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
WUN
4 - 4
BIS
27%
21%
52%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BIS
3 - 4
TAV
60%
18%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BIS
6 - 1
MEL
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BIS
4 - 0
LAR
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
EVE
1 - 0
BIS
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bristol Manor Farm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 2
WIM
25%
22%
53%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
PAU
1 - 3
BRI
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 0
BAS
43%
23%
35%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
MAL
1 - 0
BRI
58%
19%
23%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 2
FRO
17%
19%
64%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |