Birmingham City vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
10.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
BIR
2 - 1
BBU
30%
27%
43%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
SUN
2 - 2
BIR
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
BIR
0 - 1
MLL
29%
29%
43%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2010 |
MKD
2 - 3
BIR
19%
25%
56%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
DER
1 - 2
BIR
30%
27%
44%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
ROC
1 - 2
COL
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BHA
2 - 2
ROC
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 1
ROC
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
ROC
0 - 0
HAR
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 0
ROC
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |