Birmingham City vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
BPO
1 - 0
BIR
27%
26%
46%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BIR
2 - 1
NTT
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ROT
0 - 1
BIR
53%
24%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BIR
0 - 0
CAR
38%
26%
35%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
BIR
2 - 1
WAT
35%
26%
40%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
REA
0 - 0
BOL
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 2
REA
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
REA
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
REA
0 - 1
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
REA
3 - 0
ROT
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |