Birmingham City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
41.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 0
BIR
66%
21%
14%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
BIR
0 - 2
BRE
24%
24%
52%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BIR
0 - 0
ASV
27%
27%
45%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
MIL
2 - 0
BIR
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
BIR
1 - 0
CAR
26%
27%
47%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
NTT
4 - 0
QPR
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
REA
3 - 1
NTT
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
HUL
2 - 3
NTT
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
NTT
2 - 0
BUR
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
DER
2 - 0
NTT
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |