EFL Cup . 1/32

Birmingham City vs Fulham analysis

Birmingham City Fulham
63 ELO 77
-0.1% Tilt -12.6%
1181º General ELO ranking 70º
55º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
24.9%
Birmingham City
24.8%
Draw
50.3%
Fulham

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
Birmingham City
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
50.3%
Win probability
Fulham
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Birmingham City
Fulham
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Birmingham City
Birmingham City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2021
LUT
Luton Town
0 - 5
Birmingham City
BIR
62%
23%
15%
62 69 7 0
18 Aug. 2021
BIR
Birmingham City
0 - 2
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
16%
23%
61%
63 80 17 -1
14 Aug. 2021
BIR
Birmingham City
0 - 0
Stoke City
STO
34%
28%
39%
63 71 8 0
10 Aug. 2021
BIR
Birmingham City
1 - 0
Colchester United
COL
72%
18%
11%
62 52 10 +1
07 Aug. 2021
SHE
Sheffield United
0 - 1
Birmingham City
BIR
66%
23%
11%
61 77 16 +1

Matches

Fulham
Fulham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2021
FUL
Fulham
2 - 0
Hull City
HUL
49%
24%
26%
76 70 6 0
17 Aug. 2021
MIL
Millwall
1 - 2
Fulham
FUL
31%
28%
41%
76 69 7 0
14 Aug. 2021
HUR
Huddersfield Town
1 - 5
Fulham
FUL
23%
27%
50%
75 63 12 +1
08 Aug. 2021
FUL
Fulham
1 - 1
Middlesbrough
MID
56%
25%
19%
75 68 7 0
31 Jul. 2021
FUL
Fulham
1 - 0
Charlton Athletic
CHA
63%
21%
16%
75 64 11 0
X