Championship round 11

Birmingham City vs AFC Bournemouth analysis

Birmingham City AFC Bournemouth
63 ELO 80
5.5% Tilt -13.5%
690º General ELO ranking 74º
28º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
15.2%
Birmingham City
21.8%
Draw
63%
AFC Bournemouth

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
Birmingham City
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
63%
Win probability
AFC Bournemouth
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Birmingham City
+12%
+1%
AFC Bournemouth

ELO progression

Birmingham City
AFC Bournemouth
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Birmingham City
Birmingham City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2020
BIR
Birmingham City
1 - 2
Wycombe Wanderers
WYC
55%
24%
21%
64 61 3 0
31 Oct. 2020
PNE
Preston North End
1 - 2
Birmingham City
BIR
62%
23%
16%
63 70 7 +1
28 Oct. 2020
BIR
Birmingham City
2 - 1
Huddersfield Town
HUR
42%
26%
32%
62 64 2 +1
24 Oct. 2020
QPR
Queens Park Rangers
0 - 0
Birmingham City
BIR
63%
21%
16%
62 65 3 0
20 Oct. 2020
NOR
Norwich City
1 - 0
Birmingham City
BIR
73%
17%
10%
62 73 11 0

Matches

AFC Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2020
SHW
Sheffield Wednesday
1 - 0
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
15%
22%
64%
80 66 14 0
31 Oct. 2020
BOU
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 1
Derby County
DER
67%
20%
14%
81 68 13 -1
28 Oct. 2020
BOU
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 0
Bristol City
BRI
63%
21%
17%
80 70 10 +1
24 Oct. 2020
WAT
Watford
1 - 1
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
41%
25%
34%
80 80 0 0
21 Oct. 2020
CAR
Cardiff City
1 - 1
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
25%
25%
50%
80 72 8 0