Birkenhead United vs Melville United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkenhead United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
EAS
4 - 2
BIR
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
NSH
2 - 3
BIR
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
WES
2 - 0
BIR
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
WCR
0 - 4
BIR
5%
11%
85%
|
42 | 9 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
BIR
0 - 3
HAW
25%
22%
52%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Melville United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 0
NSH
41%
24%
36%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
MEL
5 - 3
WES
30%
23%
47%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
MEL
3 - 0
WCR
93%
5%
2%
|
34 | 8 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 1
HAW
13%
18%
69%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
MEL
0 - 1
NAF
93%
5%
2%
|
34 | 7 | 27 | 0 |