Third Division ACFF Round 4

Binche vs Rebecq analysis

Binche Rebecq
41 ELO 45
-6.4% Tilt 6.7%
3849º General ELO ranking 6979º
79º Country ELO ranking 167º
ELO win probability
38.3%
Binche
25.8%
Draw
35.9%
Rebecq

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
Binche
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35.9%
Win probability
Rebecq
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Binche
-45%
-3%
Rebecq

Points and table prediction

Binche
Their league position
Rebecq
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
11º
50
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Warnant
72
73
100%
Union Namur
59
62
79%
La Louvière Centre
56
62
60%
Tubize
58
59
44.5%
Meux
56
57
74%
Binche
55
55
100%
Verlaine
51
51
30.5%
Rebecq
50
51
31%
Stockay-Warfusée
50
51
30.5%
Stade Disonais
10º
47
48
10º
54%
Hamoir
11º
45
46
11º
65.5%
Ganshoren
12º
44
44
12º
0%
Acren Lessines
13º
44
44
13º
0%
Union Saint-Gilloise II
14º
38
38
14º
100%
Jette
15º
32
32
15º
91.5%
Solières Sport
16º
31
31
16º
91.5%
Seraing B
17º
24
25
17º
100%
Waremme
18º
19
19
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Binche
Rebecq
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Possible next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Binche
Rebecq
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Binche
Binche
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2022
MEU
Meux
1 - 4
Binche
BIN
81%
13%
7%
41 55 14 0
04 Sep. 2022
BIN
Binche
3 - 0
Union Namur
NAM
23%
24%
53%
38 46 8 +3
27 Aug. 2022
TUB
Tubize
0 - 1
Binche
BIN
76%
15%
8%
37 50 13 +1
21 Aug. 2022
VIS
Visé
3 - 1
Binche
BIN
63%
20%
17%
38 46 8 -1
14 Aug. 2022
BIN
Binche
3 - 0
Olympia Wijgmaal
OLY
44%
24%
32%
37 34 3 +1

Matches

Rebecq
Rebecq
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2022
REB
Rebecq
2 - 3
Union Namur
NAM
54%
22%
24%
45 44 1 0
03 Sep. 2022
REB
Rebecq
2 - 4
Union Saint-Gilloise II
SGI
59%
21%
20%
47 44 3 -2
27 Aug. 2022
REB
Rebecq
3 - 2
Stade Disonais
STA
59%
22%
19%
46 44 2 +1
13 Aug. 2022
REB
Rebecq
1 - 2
Meux
MEU
25%
22%
52%
47 54 7 -1
07 Aug. 2022
REB
Rebecq
4 - 0
Jeunesse Freylangeoise
JEU
83%
12%
6%
47 26 21 0