Billericay Town vs Waltham Abbey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Billericay Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
CRA
0 - 2
BIL
53%
23%
23%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
HEN
1 - 0
BIL
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
BIL
0 - 0
WEA
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
MAI
0 - 1
BIL
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BIL
1 - 1
BOR
57%
23%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Waltham Abbey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
WAL
0 - 2
TON
20%
23%
56%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
WAL
1 - 2
MAI
48%
25%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
TOO
1 - 1
WAL
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
WAL
1 - 1
CON
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2009 |
BRE
1 - 4
WAL
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |