ND Bilje vs Drava Ptuj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
11º
11º
20
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Bilje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BIS
1 - 1
BIL
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BIL
0 - 4
TRI
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
BIL
1 - 1
BRI
29%
25%
47%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
RUD
1 - 0
BIL
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
GOR
0 - 1
BIL
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Drava Ptuj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
DRA
2 - 4
TAS
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
NSV
1 - 2
DRA
49%
22%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BIS
3 - 2
DRA
57%
22%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
DRA
0 - 2
TRI
33%
25%
43%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
NSS
1 - 5
DRA
7%
12%
82%
|
52 | 9 | 43 | 0 |