Biggleswade United vs Chalfont St Peter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
48%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biggleswade United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BIG
2 - 1
DES
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BIG
2 - 1
HOR
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BIG
1 - 0
CAN
17%
20%
63%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | +4 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
HEN
7 - 1
BIG
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LEI
1 - 3
BIG
45%
23%
32%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Chalfont St Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
RUS
3 - 1
CHA
79%
14%
6%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
UXB
0 - 2
CHA
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 3
KIN
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
4 - 3
AYL
28%
26%
47%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
HAN
0 - 1
CHA
54%
22%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |