Biggleswade United vs AFC Dunstable analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
69.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biggleswade United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
BFC
1 - 2
BIG
69%
18%
13%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BIG
2 - 0
BUG
12%
17%
71%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
POT
2 - 1
BIG
75%
15%
11%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
COV
2 - 2
BIG
86%
9%
4%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BIG
1 - 2
LER
6%
13%
81%
|
9 | 37 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
LEV
2 - 2
AFD
17%
20%
63%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
AYL
0 - 2
AFD
15%
22%
63%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
BFC
0 - 7
AFD
10%
16%
73%
|
32 | 7 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
AFD
0 - 0
WAR
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
HER
0 - 2
AFD
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |