Biggleswade vs Bedford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
24.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biggleswade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
CAN
2 - 2
BFC
44%
23%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
WEL
3 - 0
BFC
32%
23%
45%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
ELY
1 - 2
BFC
13%
17%
70%
|
32 | 10 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
BFC
2 - 0
AFD
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
BFC
1 - 0
HIS
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Bedford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BED
1 - 1
BAR
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
BED
1 - 1
BER
28%
21%
50%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
BED
0 - 1
HEM
24%
22%
55%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
THA
4 - 0
BED
41%
23%
37%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
DAV
1 - 0
BED
30%
22%
48%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -2 |