Bienvenida A vs Calamonte UD B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
11.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bienvenida A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
ZAF
0 - 1
BIE
36%
22%
42%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BIE
3 - 0
ASA
63%
18%
20%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
SEG
1 - 1
BIE
38%
22%
40%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
BIE
2 - 1
CDS
31%
21%
48%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SEG
1 - 2
BIE
50%
21%
29%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Calamonte UD B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 0
VAL
17%
18%
65%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 5
USA
59%
20%
21%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ZAF
1 - 1
CAL
52%
21%
27%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |