Belarus U19s vs Italy U19s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
61.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belarus U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 0
BLR
69%
18%
12%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
DEU
3 - 3
BLR
83%
12%
5%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NIR
3 - 1
BLR
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
BLR
0 - 0
MNE
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
GRC
1 - 0
BLR
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Italy U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
ITA
3 - 0
ALB
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
ITA
4 - 1
ARM
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 1
ITA
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 2
ITA
40%
24%
37%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
AZE
1 - 2
ITA
17%
20%
63%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |