Biel-Bienne vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
49.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biel-Bienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2015 |
BIE
2 - 1
WOH
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 1
BIE
49%
23%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
BIE
1 - 2
CHI
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
WIN
5 - 2
BIE
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
BIE
0 - 1
SER
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2015 |
LUG
4 - 1
CHI
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LAU
0 - 1
LUG
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
LUG
2 - 0
SER
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2015 |
LEM
3 - 2
LUG
26%
26%
49%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
LUG
2 - 1
SCH
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |