BGA vs Frederikssund IK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ABT
3 - 2
BGA
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
BGA
3 - 4
HER
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
JAG
1 - 1
BGA
51%
22%
26%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BGA
2 - 3
VIR
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BGA
0 - 1
FRE
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Frederikssund IK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
FRE
1 - 3
FCO
43%
23%
35%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
2 - 1
FRE
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
B19
1 - 1
FRE
71%
18%
11%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
FRE
1 - 2
ABT
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
HER
2 - 1
FRE
66%
19%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |