BGA vs Elite 3 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
44.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
HIK
4 - 2
BGA
76%
16%
9%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BGA
0 - 2
SOL
25%
24%
51%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
HER
7 - 1
BGA
77%
15%
9%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BGA
0 - 7
RIS
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -3 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SVE
2 - 1
BGA
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Elite 3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ELI
1 - 2
B93
37%
24%
39%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SKJ
0 - 2
ELI
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ELI
2 - 4
HVI
22%
23%
55%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
VAN
0 - 0
ELI
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SCE
6 - 1
ELI
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -3 |