BGA vs Brabrand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
BGA
0 - 3
LYN
55%
21%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
JAM
3 - 3
BGA
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
BGA
3 - 1
NAS
62%
21%
18%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
ROS
0 - 3
BGA
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
NOR
1 - 3
BGA
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Brabrand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
BRA
3 - 2
KAL
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
LYN
2 - 3
BRA
50%
24%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
BRA
3 - 2
HOL
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
JAM
4 - 2
BRA
45%
25%
31%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
NAS
1 - 4
BRA
41%
26%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |