Béziers vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Béziers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
OLY
2 - 1
BEZ
60%
21%
18%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BEZ
1 - 1
FCM
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 1
BEZ
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
BEZ
2 - 0
AGD
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
GAZ
1 - 0
BEZ
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
AUR
1 - 2
UZE
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
PAU
2 - 0
AUR
59%
24%
17%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
AUR
1 - 0
MAR
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
HYE
1 - 1
AUR
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
AUR
3 - 1
LES
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |