Bex vs Perly-Certoux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
TER
3 - 0
BEX
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
BEX
2 - 1
MON
33%
25%
43%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
SBC
6 - 0
BEX
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
STA
2 - 3
BEX
75%
16%
10%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
BEX
0 - 1
GRA
29%
25%
46%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Perly-Certoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
PER
1 - 2
MON
26%
24%
50%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
FMS
3 - 1
PER
35%
25%
40%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
PER
0 - 3
GRA
28%
25%
47%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
NEX
2 - 0
PER
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
PER
2 - 2
FCM
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |