Bex vs Orbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BEX
1 - 1
BAV
20%
22%
58%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
FCM
1 - 0
BEX
70%
18%
12%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
BEX
1 - 0
VEV
14%
22%
65%
|
19 | 54 | 35 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
FCG
1 - 3
BEX
53%
22%
25%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
STA
2 - 1
BEX
78%
15%
7%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Orbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SIE
3 - 1
FCO
41%
25%
35%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
FCO
0 - 2
BAV
20%
23%
57%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
SER
3 - 1
FCO
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
FCO
2 - 2
FCM
22%
24%
54%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
PER
0 - 1
FCO
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |