Lowland Football League Scotland Round 38

Berwick Rangers vs Spartans analysis

Berwick Rangers Spartans
45 ELO 51
-1.2% Tilt -2.2%
6907º General ELO ranking 3449º
75º Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
28.7%
Berwick Rangers
24.7%
Draw
46.6%
Spartans

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
Berwick Rangers
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
46.6%
Win probability
Spartans
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Berwick Rangers
+31%
+14%
Spartans

Points and table prediction

Berwick Rangers
Their league position
Spartans
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
18º
79
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Spartans
79
79
100%
Rangers FC II
74
77
100%
Celtic II
76
76
100%
Stirling University
71
71
100%
Tranent Juniors FC
65
65
100%
East Kilbride
64
64
100%
Berwick Rangers
61
61
100%
Civil Service Strollers
58
58
100%
Bo'ness United
54
54
100%
Caledonian Braves
10º
51
51
10º
0%
Broomhill FC
11º
51
51
11º
0%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Hearts II
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Cumbernauld Colts
14º
46
46
14º
100%
Cowdenbeath
15º
36
36
15º
100%
East Stirlingshire
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Gretna 2008
17º
26
26
17º
100%
AFC Edinburgh University
18º
16
16
18º
100%
Dalbeattie Star
19º
8
8
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
Berwick Rangers
Spartans
Play-offs for the title
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Berwick Rangers
Spartans
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Berwick Rangers
Berwick Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2023
CIV
Civil Service Strollers
1 - 1
Berwick Rangers
BER
29%
26%
45%
45 39 6 0
08 Apr. 2023
BER
Berwick Rangers
3 - 0
East Kilbride
EAS
34%
23%
43%
43 45 2 +2
18 Mar. 2023
CWB
Cowdenbeath
0 - 4
Berwick Rangers
BER
26%
24%
50%
42 35 7 +1
11 Mar. 2023
CBF
Caledonian Braves
3 - 2
Berwick Rangers
BER
37%
25%
39%
43 37 6 -1
04 Mar. 2023
BER
Berwick Rangers
3 - 1
AFC Edinburgh University
AFC
90%
8%
2%
42 8 34 +1

Matches

Spartans
Spartans
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2023
SPA
Spartans
1 - 0
Cowdenbeath
CWB
83%
13%
4%
51 33 18 0
08 Apr. 2023
TRA
Tranent Juniors FC
0 - 1
Spartans
SPA
36%
25%
40%
50 46 4 +1
26 Mar. 2023
SPA
Spartans
3 - 0
Gretna 2008
GRE
87%
10%
3%
50 21 29 0
17 Mar. 2023
CFC
Celtic II
1 - 1
Spartans
SPA
53%
23%
24%
50 52 2 0
14 Mar. 2023
SPA
Spartans
4 - 0
Stirling University
STI
46%
24%
30%
48 48 0 +2