Second Division Round 22

Berwick Rangers vs Dumbarton analysis

Berwick Rangers Dumbarton
51 ELO 57
-7.7% Tilt 8.2%
6899º General ELO ranking 4035º
75º Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
40%
Berwick Rangers
28.5%
Draw
31.5%
Dumbarton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
Berwick Rangers
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
31.5%
Win probability
Dumbarton
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Berwick Rangers
+48%
+38%
Dumbarton

ELO progression

Berwick Rangers
Dumbarton
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Berwick Rangers
Berwick Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 1995
BRE
Brechin City
1 - 0
Berwick Rangers
BER
42%
27%
32%
52 45 7 0
14 Jan. 1995
GRE
Greenock Morton
2 - 1
Berwick Rangers
BER
66%
20%
15%
52 56 4 0
10 Jan. 1995
BER
Berwick Rangers
3 - 1
Queen of the South
QOS
48%
28%
24%
51 53 2 +1
31 Dec. 1994
BER
Berwick Rangers
1 - 0
Stirling Albion
STI
43%
28%
29%
51 54 3 0
10 Dec. 1994
LIV
Livingston
2 - 1
Berwick Rangers
BER
54%
24%
22%
51 53 2 0

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jan. 1995
DUM
Dumbarton
2 - 1
Greenock Morton
GRE
57%
23%
20%
56 56 0 0
21 Jan. 1995
DUM
Dumbarton
2 - 2
Stirling Albion
STI
62%
22%
16%
56 53 3 0
14 Jan. 1995
QOS
Queen of the South
0 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
47%
27%
27%
56 51 5 0
31 Dec. 1994
STE
Stenhousemuir
1 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
47%
26%
27%
57 53 4 -1
26 Dec. 1994
DUM
Dumbarton
4 - 0
East Fife
EAS
61%
23%
16%
56 55 1 +1