Berwick Rangers vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berwick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
BER
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
QUE
1 - 1
BER
32%
25%
44%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
BER
1 - 2
PET
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
QUE
1 - 3
BER
34%
25%
42%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
BER
1 - 0
THE
69%
17%
13%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
HAM
2 - 1
ARB
78%
14%
7%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 4
ALL
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
AIR
2 - 0
ARB
67%
18%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 2
DUN
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 2
ARB
69%
17%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |