Berkum vs Go Ahead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
10.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berkum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
DOS
0 - 2
BER
20%
22%
58%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BER
1 - 2
DET
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BER
0 - 3
SDV
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
NUN
1 - 1
BER
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
BER
4 - 0
HOR
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
GOA
3 - 4
SDV
45%
24%
31%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
HOR
4 - 1
GOA
30%
22%
48%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
GOA
1 - 2
DOS
55%
21%
23%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
KHC
2 - 1
GOA
23%
21%
56%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
GOA
2 - 2
NUN
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |