Oberliga NRW. Jor. 18

Bergisch Gladbach vs Arminia Bielefeld II analysis

Bergisch Gladbach Arminia Bielefeld II
32 ELO 36
0.7% Tilt 6.2%
5834º General ELO ranking 28197º
202º Country ELO ranking 1232º
ELO win probability
22.9%
Bergisch Gladbach
23.1%
Draw
54%
Arminia Bielefeld II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
Bergisch Gladbach
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
54%
Win probability
Arminia Bielefeld II
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Bergisch Gladbach
Arminia Bielefeld II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bergisch Gladbach
Bergisch Gladbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Dec. 2011
BER
Bergisch Gladbach
3 - 1
MSV Duisburg II
MSV
34%
25%
40%
26 31 5 0
04 Dec. 2011
VIK
Viktoria Köln
2 - 0
Bergisch Gladbach
BER
77%
15%
8%
28 52 24 -2
27 Nov. 2011
BER
Bergisch Gladbach
1 - 3
Westfalia Rhynern
WER
63%
20%
17%
30 22 8 -2
13 Nov. 2011
BER
Bergisch Gladbach
0 - 3
Siegen Sportfreunde
SPO
31%
25%
44%
32 37 5 -2
06 Nov. 2011
DOR
Dornberg
3 - 1
Bergisch Gladbach
BER
18%
21%
62%
34 18 16 -2

Matches

Arminia Bielefeld II
Arminia Bielefeld II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Dec. 2011
HUL
Hüls
2 - 3
Arminia Bielefeld II
ABI
32%
24%
44%
37 32 5 0
03 Dec. 2011
ABI
Arminia Bielefeld II
6 - 0
KFC Uerdingen 05
KFC
63%
20%
17%
36 30 6 +1
27 Nov. 2011
VEL
Velbert
4 - 4
Arminia Bielefeld II
ABI
44%
24%
32%
36 35 1 0
13 Nov. 2011
WHE
Westfalia Herne
1 - 5
Arminia Bielefeld II
ABI
17%
22%
61%
35 20 15 +1
06 Nov. 2011
ABI
Arminia Bielefeld II
3 - 1
Alemannia Aachen II
AAA
47%
24%
29%
34 34 0 +1
X