Bergheim vs Berndorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
9.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SVA
2 - 2
BER
20%
21%
59%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
BER
2 - 2
BRA
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
HAL
2 - 3
BER
45%
23%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BER
2 - 0
SAL
42%
23%
35%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
BER
2 - 4
ALT
51%
22%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Berndorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
BER
0 - 3
GRO
19%
20%
61%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
SCH
1 - 0
BER
46%
23%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BER
2 - 1
ZEL
38%
21%
41%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
STR
0 - 0
BER
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BER
2 - 2
PUC
34%
22%
44%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |