Bergheim vs ASV Salzburg analysis


14	ELO	14
2.4%	Tilt	15.7%
15716º	General ELO ranking	48064º
290º	Country ELO ranking	725º
ELO win probability

47.5%

Bergheim

21.3%

Draw

31.1%

ASV Salzburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

47.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%

21.3%

Draw

0-0

2.6%

1-1

8.5%

2-2

7%

3-3

2.6%

4-4

0.5%

5-5

0.1%

0

21.3%

31.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-8%

-3%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

14º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

17

4º

14º

17

9º

14º

13º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

13º

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	58	58	1º	100%
2º	55	55	2º	100%
3º	48	48	3º	100%
5º	42	42	4º	0%
4º	42	42	5º	0%
6º	39	39	6º	100%
7º	39	39	7º	100%
8º	38	38	8º	100%
9º	35	35	9º	100%
10º	30	30	10º	100%
11º	30	30	11º	100%
12º	20	20	12º	100%
13º	17	17	13º	0%
14º	17	17	14º	0%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion	0%	0%
Mid-table	0%	0%
Possible next round	100%	0%
Relegation	0%	100%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches