Bergerac vs Tarbes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
SAG
2 - 0
BER
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
COG
2 - 1
BER
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
BER
3 - 0
SAM
66%
20%
15%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
BER
2 - 1
BAS
61%
22%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
CUG
2 - 0
BER
32%
26%
42%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
TAR
4 - 1
BEZ
31%
26%
44%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
TAR
2 - 0
BLA
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 1
TAR
36%
25%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
TAR
0 - 0
SAI
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
TOU
5 - 2
TAR
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |