Bergerac U19 vs Tours U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
47.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
12º
14º
14º
16
9º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 49.5% |
|
Relegation
|
98% | 50.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
BER
0 - 2
LAV
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SRS
4 - 3
BER
12%
17%
71%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BER
3 - 1
REN
9%
14%
76%
|
11 | 41 | 30 | +7 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SCB
3 - 0
BER
75%
15%
11%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BER
1 - 3
NAN
10%
15%
76%
|
12 | 45 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Tours U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
TOU
0 - 2
CHA
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
GUI
4 - 0
TOU
64%
20%
17%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ANG
4 - 1
TOU
62%
21%
17%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
TOU
0 - 0
STA
16%
21%
64%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
NAN
3 - 1
TOU
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |