Berga vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
12%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
7.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ROD
0 - 4
BER
18%
20%
62%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
BER
1 - 4
MAT
53%
21%
26%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
GIR
1 - 1
BER
30%
23%
47%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BER
3 - 1
BVM
78%
13%
9%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CMB
2 - 1
BER
27%
22%
51%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 3
FCS
32%
25%
44%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
TRO
5 - 3
SAN
81%
12%
7%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 2
VIC
32%
22%
46%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
4 - 2
ROD
48%
22%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 1
SAN
82%
12%
7%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +1 |